The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration forecasts a near normal or below normal Atlantic hurricane season this year. NOAA predicts a 70 percent chance of 8-13 named storms, 3-6 hurricanes (74 mph or higher) and 1-2 major hurricanes (Categories 3,4, 5 or 111 mph or higher). The outlook is based on El Nino developing this summer.
According to NOAA, El Nino produces strong wind shear which reduces the number and intensity of tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic. El Nino also makes trade winds stronger and the atmosphere more stable over the Atlantic Ocean so that cloud systems off Africa are less likely to become tropical storms.
Hurricane season is June 1st through the end of November. For more, go to http://www.noaa.gov.